Saturday, December 31, 2022

The king and his sons


Once in a kingdom across the sea there was a good and just king who had two sons. Harry the Red and William the Blonde. William had a beautiful wife who obeyed the dictums of the king, was a good mother to her children, and was beloved by all in the kingdom. His younger son, Harry the Red, married an evil woman from a rebelious colony in Los Angeles. The king looked upon his daughters in law. There was the good wife from the East and the wicked wife from the West.

Being kicked out of the kingdom the wicked wife said nasty things about the Royal Family on Netflix and Harry the Red revealed some royal secrets in his book. They spent the rest of their lives in comparative luxury in California and eventually got a morning talk show but the show had poor ratings. 

William the Blonde and his lovely wife did their duties as proscribed and served their country well.  


Editor's note: To be continued. 

My predictions for 2023


 Here were my predictions on conditions at the end of 2022 as made on New Year's Eve, 12 months ago:

Dow Jones         37650
S and P               5178
NASDAQ           17258
Unemployed        3.8%
Microsoft            365
Oil                       80
CPI                      3.9%    

The actual end of year as of today.
Dow Jones            33148         
S and P                  3839
NASDAQ            10466.5
Unemployed         3.7%
Microsoft              239.82
Texas Crude Oil    80.51
CPI                         6.1%

Like most of the world, I was caught with my pants down with regards to    predictions on inflation and the major declines in the market.
My prediction for December 31, 2023:
Dow Jones           36000
S and P                4500
NASDAQ           10800
Unemployed         5%
Microsoft             300
Texas Crude Oil    90
CPI                       5%

Historically, bad years in the market are usually followed by decent years. We will have a mild recession, but things will get better in the fall. Prices for hardware will go down but food prices will not diminish, only stop rising. The Eagles will be in the Super Bowl in January of 2023 but lose. They will not do as well in the fall. 

Monday, December 26, 2022

Boxing Day


Today we get to experience what it is like to live in Great Britain and to experience Boxing Day. This is the holiday which follows Christmas and is a legal holiday. This only occurs when Christmas is on a Sunday. The government isn't really open on Sundays anyway, so they have to close the post office, libraries, garbage disposal, town hall, etc. on the following Monday. Because of the bad weather on Friday and Saturday, Monday would normally be the day when we could get on with our lives but things are at a standstill in many areas because Monday is a legal holiday, ie. an English Boxing Day. 

I know I'm being a Scrooge but I'd like to throw out my Christmas refuse but the cans are all filled. I'd like to get the mail. I'd like to borrow a library book. Humbug. 

At least most of the stores are open. I went to my favorite supermercado and was able to use the self check out. It went smoothly. No message "unknown item in the baggage area". Don't repeat this but I think supermarket clerks quietly disable the scale for purchased items when they are short staffed. You didn't hear it from me. 

 



Thursday, December 15, 2022

Those Frances Ha years


Recently I noticed that Hulu was featuring that hipster classic, Frances Ha. It's fun to watch it again now that it is no longer the newest thing. Surprisingly to me, it turned out not to be a dated retread of hipster Brooklyn in the 0-0s but a depiction of a period in our lives that many of us (not including engineering majors) went through in that period between college and our adult lives. 

Many of us nostalgically remember that fun time when we went home from college without a job, any money, a significant other, or a practical career. This was the time when we were home all day, if not at an occasional stint as a Kelly girl. That period when we smoked dope while driving in the afternoon and having occasional sex on the back porch. 

During this period, I drove to California and back, saw the Rocky Horror Picture Show at midnight, walked around Greenwich Village, and bought books and records. I still have my old Fugs records. At night I slept in my old room, the radio now playing Bob Fass instead of Cousin Brucie. 

Of course, Greta Gerwig had a less certain residence than mine, depending on friend relationships to determine her lodging rather than sleeping in her old bedroom. She has fun strutting the streets, but I am uncertain of her balletic skills that she is banking on.

She does get to go to neat parties, she is in the city and not in Hackensack. She has nice conversations, but drinks too much and overindulges. She takes a trip to Paris she can't afford and is told not to rely on  the bank of Mom and Dad. 

Eventually I drove out west to find my fortune and became a member of the workaday, car driving, tax paying masses. This last step on the road to adulthood is harder for the young today. It's not enough to find one's identity anymore what with high rents and student debt and all.