Here were my predictions on conditions at the end of 2022 as made on New Year's Eve, 12 months ago:
Dow Jones 37650
S and P 5178
NASDAQ 17258
Unemployed 3.8%
Microsoft 365
Oil 80
CPI 3.9%
The actual end of year as of today.
Dow Jones 33148
S and P 3839
NASDAQ 10466.5
Unemployed 3.7%
Microsoft 239.82
Texas Crude Oil 80.51
CPI 6.1%
Like most of the world, I was caught with my pants down with regards to predictions on inflation and the major declines in the market.
My prediction for December 31, 2023:
Dow Jones 36000
S and P 4500
NASDAQ 10800
Unemployed 5%
Microsoft 300
Texas Crude Oil 90
CPI 5%
Historically, bad years in the market are usually followed by decent years. We will have a mild recession, but things will get better in the fall. Prices for hardware will go down but food prices will not diminish, only stop rising. The Eagles will be in the Super Bowl in January of 2023 but lose. They will not do as well in the fall.
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